Freight Rate Forecast for International Air Cargo in H2 2025 The Debate on Rising or Falling Prices

Predicting the Trend of International Air Freight Prices in 2025 Will Prices Rise or Fall in the Second Half of the Year?

As the global economy recovers and trade grows, international air freight prices are experiencing fluctuations. Recently, some news reports and industry analyses have shown that after a period of decline, international air freight prices are expected to rise in the second half of the year. Is this prediction accurate? We will analyze this in detail in this article.

First, we need to understand the various factors influencing international air freight prices. These include global supply and demand, trade policies, currency exchange rates, energy prices, seasonal factors, etc. Recently, the global economy has been gradually recovering, and trade activities have also been increasing, which may provide certain impetus for international air freight prices. Due to travel restrictions and quarantine policies implemented by many countries, logistics bottlenecks have appeared in some regions, which may also push up air freight prices to a certain extent.

Energy prices are another important factor affecting international air freight prices. Currently, the world is at a critical stage of energy transition, with many countries striving to reduce dependence on fossil fuels and turn to renewable energy. However, this does not mean that energy prices will immediately fall. On the contrary, due to the time required for the production and transportation of new energy sources, energy prices will likely remain high in the short term. This may put some pressure on international air freight prices.

However, we also need to consider some negative factors that may affect international air freight prices. For example, the recurrence of the global pandemic, geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, etc. These factors may cause logistics disruptions, thus affecting international air freight prices. Some airlines may also adopt discount strategies due to competitive pressures to attract more customers.

In summary, we can conclude that international air freight prices are likely to rise in the second half of the year. However, this increase does not necessarily mean that airlines will achieve higher profits. Instead, airlines need to closely monitor market dynamics and flexibly adjust their strategies to cope with potential challenges.

Against this backdrop, airlines need to prepare adequately, including optimizing route layouts, improving operational efficiency, and strengthening risk management. At the same time, industry organizations should also strengthen cooperation to jointly address global logistics challenges and create a favorable environment for the development of the aviation industry.

In the coming years, as the global economy and trade continue to develop, the international air freight market still has great room for growth. However, this requires concerted efforts from airlines, industry organizations, and other stakeholders to respond to various challenges through innovation and cooperation to achieve sustainable development.

In conclusion, the future trend of international air freight prices remains uncertain. Airlines need to closely monitor market dynamics and flexibly adjust their strategies to cope with potential challenges. At the same time, we need to maintain a rational and objective attitude to create a favorable environment for the healthy development of the aviation industry.